AI Box Office Forecast: The November 7, 2025 Mega Lineup

AI Forecast Report — November 7 2025 Theatrical Lineup

FilmDistributor / Origin Opening Weekend (US/Canada)Total Domestic ForecastAI ConfidenceReasoning & Market Context

Predator: Badlands 20th Century Studios / Disney: $30 – 50 M/$70 – 150 M🔵 Moderate–High

The Predator franchise returns with a grounded survival-action tone following Prey’s critical success. Thanksgiving corridor positioning gives it male 18-49 dominance. Premium format rollout (IMAX/4DX) adds +15 % revenue. Competition mainly from Running Man and Wicked in following weeks, but strong fan base ensures solid launch.

PAW Patrol Christmas, A Paramount / Nickelodeon Movies: $8 – 18 M/$20 – 50 M🟢 High

Family evergreen brand with holiday theme. Paw Patrol 2 opened at $22.7 M in 2023; seasonality and shorter run reduce that slightly. Expect wide family appeal but smaller per-screen due to limited repeat viewing. Strong Canadian share (~12 %) from Toronto-based franchise.

Christy Indie Limited $3-9 M/$12-28 M🟠 Medium

Christy (2025) positions itself as a gritty, character-driven boxing biopic that could find strong legs through critical acclaim and empowerment themes.

Die My LoveA24 / Sony Classics (assumed)$1 – 5 M/$3 – 12 M🟠 Medium

Adapted from Ariana Harwicz’s acclaimed novel; arthouse psychological drama. Limited 1,000-screen release max. Strong reviews could push multiples, but subject matter caps mainstream reach.

Nuremberg Warner Bros. / Sky / UK Co-Prod $1 – 4 M/$3 – 10 M🟠 Medium

Historical courtroom drama centered on post-WWII trials. Festival pedigree suggests awards positioning; platform release likely expanding to ~1 500 screens. Audience skew 35+. A potential Oscar bump later could add legs.

Sarah’s Oil Amazon/MGM 🎯 $4-9 M OW / $18-40 M 🟠 Medium

Dramatizes the real story of Sarah Rector — a young Black girl who became a millionaire through oil rights in early-1900s Oklahoma. The film blends education, representation, and uplift, appealing to audiences who embraced Hidden Figures and Harriet.

Moda Tharindu (Sinhala w/ EST)Sri Lanka / Independent $0.2 – 1.0 M/$0.5 – 3.0 M🔴 High

VolatilitySinhala-language diaspora title targeting Sri Lankan audiences in Toronto, Mississauga, Scarborough, and select U.S. metros. Screen count < 50. Community promotion drives turnout. Midpoint assumes 300–400 attendees per show.

Nobody (Mandarin w/ EST)Alibaba / Cineplex Intl $2 – 5 M$6 – 15 M🟠 Medium

Chinese animated sensation following its $140 M China run. North American release mirrors The Boy and the Heron import pattern. Mandarin-language with English subtitles; diaspora and animation-enthusiast driven. If dubbed version expands, could exceed $10 M.

Happy Khush Ho Gaya (Punjabi w/ EST)Zee Studios Intl $0.5 – 2 M/$1 – 5 M🔴 High Volatility

Punjabi-language romantic comedy aimed at South Asian diaspora. Strong base in Ontario and British Columbia; per-screen averages historically $8–10 K opening weekend. Word-of-mouth dependent.

Haq (Hindi w/ EST)Yash Raj Films / Viacom18 Intl $1 – 6 M/$3 – 12 M🟠 Medium

Hindi social-drama with potential Bollywood star power. Wide release across U.S./Canada (120–150 screens). Could benefit from cross-promotion with Diwali festivals; risk of overlap with other Indian releases.

🔍 AI Notes & Patterns

• Total Market Share (All Titles Combined): ~ $45 – 95 M Opening Weekend across U.S./Canada.

• Top Performer: Predator: Badlands dominates multiplex playtime (≈ 60 % of gross).

• Family Counterprogramming: PAW Patrol Christmas balances adult action with younger demos.

• Diaspora Strength: Combined South Asian releases (Moda Tharindu, Happy Khush Ho Gaya, Haq) could contribute ~ $2–4 M OW regionally, with Toronto & Vancouver key markets.

• Awards Corridor: Nuremberg, Die My Love, and Sarah’s Oil likely expand slowly into prestige slots, contributing steady legs through December.

🧠 AI Commentary

• Expect Predator: Badlands to command the PLF screens, while PAW Patrol Christmas drives daytime family business.

• Indie dramas (Die My Love, Nuremberg, Sarah’s Oil) will fill prestige slots with modest but steady per-screen averages.

• The South Asian cluster adds diversity to the weekend, helping arthouses and multicultural cinemas maintain strong attendance.

• Overall, the Nov 7 frame is healthy, with a forecasted $90 M–$120 M combined total across all titles by end of first week.

  Actual: TBD