Regretting You
Explore how artificial intelligence is revolutionizing box office forecasts, providing insight into trends that shape the film industry landscape. Discover the latest in AI technology and its profound impact on movie success metrics through data-driven analysis and social media buzz reports.
MOVIES
10/20/20252 min read
Regretting You (2025)
Genre: Romantic Drama
Studio: Paramount Pictures
U.S. Theatrical Release: October 24, 2025
Director: Josh Boone
Cast: Allison Williams, Mckenna Grace, Dave Franco, Mason Thames
Source Material: Adapted from the bestselling novel by Colleen Hoover
📊 AI-Structured Box Office Report
1. Opening Weekend (Domestic)
Projected Range: $16M – $24M
AI Midpoint Forecast: $20M
Tracking Data: Boxoffice Pro currently sits at $17M–$25M
Rationale: Hoover’s devoted fanbase ensures a strong first-wave turnout, but competition from other adult-skewing titles and anime releases in the same frame could cap the ceiling.
2. Total Domestic Projection
Scenario Total Domestic
Low$48M
Mid$60M
High$75M
Benchmarked against It Ends with Us, The Fault in Our Stars, and Five Feet Apart — all strong YA romance performers with similar front-loaded patterns.
3. Canadian Gross
Projected: $5.5M – $7.5M
Driven by Hoover’s substantial Canadian readership and solid crossover appeal.
4. Week 1 → Week 2 Forecast Drop
Expected Range: –45% to –55%
Positioned between front-loaded teen dramas (FIOS at –69%) and adult-leaning romances (A Star Is Born at –33.7%).
5. Competitive Frame (Oct 24 Weekend)
New Openers: Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (adult biopic), Chainsaw Man – Reze Arc (anime event).
Holdovers: The Black Phone 2, TRON: Ares, Good Fortune.
Showtimes and premium screens will be competitive, but genre overlap remains limited.
📈 Comparable Titles
FilmOW/Total Domestic/Wk1–2 Drop/Why It Matters
It Ends with Us (2024) $50M/$148.5M/ 52% - Same author IP; summer romance phenomenon
The Fault in Our Stars$48M/$124.9M/ 69% - Teen-heavy comp; similar tone
Five Feet Apart $13.2M/$45.7M/ 35% - Smaller-scale YA hit with strong WOMA
Star Is Born$42.9M/$215.3M/ 33.7% - Prestige adult romance with excellent legs
📱 Social Media Engagement Snapshot (as of Oct 20, 2025)
PlatformViews / ReachBuzz Highlights- Sentiment
YouTube: ~2–4M views on official + partner uploads/Trailer reactions focus on mother–daughter bond & book faithfulness/Positive
TikTok: Early hashtag traction (#RegrettingYouMovie), Fan edits & quote posts — BookTok is leading the conversation/Creator-led, trending upward
Instagram: Cast reels + author tie-ins. “From the author of It Ends with Us” the message resonates/ Warm reception among fans
Facebook: Entertainment Tonight trailer post/ Book-club groups tagging friends to see it opening weekend/ Solid mainstream awareness
Reddit: r/movies & r/boxoffice discussions/Debates around plot reveals and box office potential/Mixed-to-positive curiosity
🔥 Viral Drivers
Built-in Hoover fandom across BookTok & Bookstagram.
Strong cast appeal (Williams, Grace, Franco, Thames).
Entertainment coverage (Variety, PEOPLE, Yahoo) sustaining buzz from trailer drop to release.
🧠 Analyst Takeaway
Regretting You is positioned as a mid-range romantic drama with breakout upside. Awareness is growing steadily through organic fan engagement, particularly from BookTok, while adult drama positioning may give the film longer legs than traditional teen YA romances.
The AI projection bands reflect moderate to strong box office potential, especially if early word-of-mouth mirrors Hoover’s last major adaptation. Expect a solid opening and a WOM-driven second-week performance.
📝 Quick Links
🧮 AI Forecast Summary
Range: Opening Weekend/Total Domestic
Low$16M/$48M
Mid$20M/$60M
High$24M/$75M
Hoover’s fanbase will show up — the question is how far mainstream audiences follow.
Actual: TBD